Joe Biden will have ‘significant impact’ on US UK ‘special relationship’ – expert
Joe Biden on supporting UK during Falklands conflict in 1982
The world is headed for a change in the coming weeks as the Brexit transition period comes to an end on December 31, and President Joe Biden will be sworn in as the 46th President of the United States just weeks later on January 20. As it stands, a no-deal Brexit is seemingly an increasing possibility as the UK and EU negotiation talks have encountered a number of sticking points, namely free and fair competition in business and the issue of fishing.
While President Donald Trump was a known supporter of Brexit, having once encouraged other European countries to follow in the UK’s footsteps, President-elect Biden is not.
Many Brexiteers hoped for a leader who would follow in Mr Trump’s footsteps in condoning the exit from Europe, but Mr Biden is proving to be the total opposite.
Speaking to Express.co.uk, Dr Evan Lawrence, senior lecturer at the University of Central Lancashire, said Joe Biden will have a “significant relationship” on the two countries’ relationship.
Dr Lawrence said: “Trump’s administration may have given the UK hope that it would receive ‘special treatment’ from the US, but under new leadership, this is unlikely.”
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Speaking of the effect Joe Biden could have on the UK and US’s relationship, the Professor explained: “While in the spotlight, Joe Biden has consistently been a uniting force for many people and countries, and his presidency will certainly have a significant impact on the ‘special relationship’ between the US and the UK.
“Biden has made his scepticism of Brexit very clear, with particular emphasis on the impact it could have on Northern Ireland.
“He is adamant to protect the Good Friday Agreement, which would be impacted if customs posts were positioned at the Irish border.”
The Good Friday agreement has been a significant point of disagreement between US and UK relations so far, especially since the President-elect is of Irish-American descent.
Mr Biden tweeted a stark warning to the UK recently, saying: “We can’t the Good Friday Agreement that brought peace to Northern Ireland to become a casualty of Brexit.
“Any trade deal between the US and UK must be contingent upon respect for the agreement and preventing the return of a hard border.”
Dr Lawrence explained: “This could be a sticking point for the relationship with the two nations, and Boris Johnson may be more likely to defend the agreement if he knows that failing to do so would have a detrimental impact on his relationship with the US President-elect.”
But Dr Lawrence said the UK Government could be forced to agree a deal with the EU if they want to keep things sweet with their American neighbours across the Atlantic.
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She explained: “A ‘no deal’ outcome would cause many problems for the EU and the UK, and both sides will be working hard to find a solution.
“Boris Johnson has been adamant about not wanting to extend the New Year’s Eve deadline.
“If a deal is found, there is little time put actions into force on January 1. Therefore, concessions will have to be made to get a deal ratified on time.”
In addition, no deal Brexit could prove very problematic for the UK if it relies on the US for a trade agreement.
Mr Biden is likely to prefer the US to deal with the EU rather than the UK, simply because its 27 member states will prove a much more fruitful trade partner.
Dr Lawrence said: “Biden is likely to view the EU as a preferable trading partner over the UK.”
The professor said the Prime Minister will have to be wary of the situation in coming weeks in an effort not to undermine future trade deals with other countries.
She concluded: “Boris Johnson will need to carefully look at how the UK’s relationships with other countries are being damaged by its decision to leave the EU.”
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