Thursday, 27 Jan 2022

Colorado weather: What are the chances of a white Christmas this year? – The Denver Post

It’s about that time of the year when the forecast starts to come into focus for whether or not we will have a white Christmas.

This year, if you couldn’t tell from the less than half-inch of snow that has fallen — in total — this season for Denver, snow hasn’t been very common. However, there are several areas across Colorado where you are guaranteed a White Christmas.

Historically, there is a 40% chance of seeing a white Christmas in Denver. That’s based on data from 1990-2020. It is considered to be a white Christmas if there is more than one inch of snow on the ground on Christmas day.

Historical chances of seeing a white Christmas in cities across Colorado

Pueblo – 15% chance
Colorado Springs – 21% chance
Grand Junction – 27% chance
Buena Vista – 34% chance
Ft. Collins – 34% chance
Limon – 36% chance
Denver – 40% chance
Castle Rock – 43% chance
Boulder – 47% chance
Glenwood Springs – 56% chance
Durango – 79% chance
Pagosa Springs – 82% chance
Dillon – 90% chance
Telluride – 97% chance
Steamboat Springs – 98% chance
Crested Butte – 99% chance

Obviously, the mountains have a much better chance of seeing a white Christmas than any other area of the state. However, some people consider snow falling on Christmas day to be a white Christmas. So, what are those chances?


The forecast across Colorado through the weekend and into the beginning of next week is expected to be dry and seasonable. There looks to be a storm moving into Colorado around Christmas Eve but this will be confined to the mountains leaving the I-25 corridor dry.

Another storm looks possible on Christmas and into the day after but again, that storm looks to be confined to higher elevations. NOAA’s forecast for temperature and precipitation between the 22-26 of December does not look promising for cold.

The temperature forecast for the days leading up to Christmas looks downright warm for all of Colorado. There is a signal for above-average precipitation during this period which mainly includes the mountains. The I-25 corridor is looking at near-normal precipitation — but during this time of year, that’s not much.

For Denver and the urban corridor, it’s not looking good for snow before or on Christmas this year. You’ll have to head to the mountains for that.

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